Ultimate Fight Night 74 Predictions

Ok we are back at it again with UFN 74. Before we get into our pick for this card, we are going to take a quick look at how we did on the last card. At UFN 73 I suggested betting big on Uriah Hall even though he was a big favorite to win. The bet was risk $300 to win $80 and and it paid. As for Draft Kings, well that didn’t go so well due to a couple of upsets and a split decision loss on my end. Onto the betting advice.

Draft Kings

Due to the unknowns on this card, I cannot say who is a good underdog to pick for Draft Kings. Because what it comes down to is finding the right lesser known fighter and hoping he hits a quick finish. The only thing I will say about this card is that the main event between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira is that Oliveira has a greater chance than people are giving him. Of course every time I have discounted the Hawaiian, he has shown up big time, so take that how you will.

Regular betting

I’m going with two favorites, but not in a parlay. The reasoning is that parlays are harder to hit and only take one person to screw it up. There will be times when I suggest a parlay, but this card, is not one of them. There’s two fights that I like, the first is Misha Cirkunov vs. Daniel Jolly as Jolly is a late replacement. Cirkunov is sitting at -380 right now and we will bet 2 units on him to win .53 units (I’ll translate in a minute). While both fighters are making their UFC debut, Cirkunov is the local in this event and typically a late replacement plus not having to travel equals a good night for him. The other fight I like is Olivier Aubin-Mercer versus Tony Sims. Aubin-Mercer has a bit more ring experience than Sims plus he trains out of Tristar. He is also a favorite at -224 and we will be betting 1.5 units to win .67 units.

Ok let’s translate how MMA betting works. A favorite, is someone who is – and an underdog is someone who is +. For simplistic sakes if someone is -200, then you would need to bet $200 (2 units) to win $100 (1 unit). If someone is a +200 underdog then you would win $200 (2 units) by betting $100 (1 unit). So with our fantasy fake money betting, we are placing $150 on Aubin-Mercer to win $66.94 and we are placing $200 on Cirkunov to win $52.63.

Tags:

Trackback from your site.

thebwit

This information box about the author only appears if the author has biographical information. Otherwise there is not author box shown. Follow YOOtheme on Twitter or read the blog.

Leave a comment

You must be logged in to post a comment.